We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics ‘global climate change’ or ‘global warming’. We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming.
So hang on……66.4% expressed no position on the causes of global warming…
but……32.6% endorsed the alarmist position.
And the 97%?
The 97% is 97% of that 32.6%, or least of ‘those who expressed a position’, which definitely counts out the 66.4% who expressed no position and is even more definitely not 97% of ‘all scientists’…by my reading of that explanation.
So maybe around 33% of the literature openly supports the man-made climate change theory.
I’m sure someone will put me right.
NB…Not as if the author of the study isn’t a climate change campaigner himself…
An interesting sequence of events followed the publication of a scientific paper I co-authored in May last year. The paper found a 97% consensus that humans were causing global warming in relevant scientific papers. [Really?…see above]
So there is still much work to do. Several decades of casting doubt on the consensus has contributed to maintaining the consensus gap. This is why communication experts urge scientists to communicate the 97% consensus. This approach is based on a growing body of evidence underscoring the important role of perceived consensus and the necessity of consensus messaging.
Amusing to see this from our old mate Richard Black in 2007..
Of all the accusations made by the vociferous community of climate sceptics, surely the most damaging is that science itself is biased against them.
“The research itself is biased,” as one recent blog entry put it.
“Scientists are quick to find what they’re looking for when it means getting more funding out of the government.”
That particular posting gave no evidence to support its claim of bias. I have seen none that did, which made me wonder whether there was any evidence.
Naturally Black couldn’t find any convincing evidence of that….but the above surely is where “Scientists are quick to find what they’re looking for.” 97%? That’ll do nicely.
Sustainability has a reasonable foothold in UK discourse. It features as part of Government policy with, for example, Government Departments being obliged to report on their sustainability achievements, for example.
It is much less clear, however, that it has a genuine and deep purchase on the national
psyche. Outside select groups in the research and NGO sector, and a general, casual and
relatively inconsequential popular acknowledgement of it, particularly among the urban
middle classes, it can reasonably be said that it has made rather little tangible impact on
the way people live their lives.
TippingPoint is one of a handful of small British organisations that have been championing the concept of artistic intervention in this field.
The rationale for this is best summed up in our strapline ‘energising the creative response
to climate change’. Our conviction is that without deep engagement in the subject by the
cultural sector we will not achieve the breakthroughs in public understanding that are
necessary.
We were extremely fortunate to form a partnership with the newly created, and substantial, Stories of Change project funded by the Arts and Humanities Research Council. This project has aims that are almost exactly aligned with those of TippingPoint, and both felt that it was well worth combining forces – and budgets – to achieve a greater impact.
So the government sponsored climate alarmists who pay for Harrabin’s spiel, join forces with climate activists to contrive to produce climate propaganda via the Arts and Cultural sector...and their aims are exactly aligned.
Who can doubt this year’s Harrabin harangue isn’t also aligned with that aim.
The ‘People’ aren’t onboard with climate change so Harrabin and Co are out to make the case for climate alarmism.
A journalist or activist?
Not as if our Rog hasn’t been in the pay of the government before according to the Mail…
The controversial seminar was run by a body set up by the BBC’s own environment analyst Roger Harrabin and funded via a £67,000 grant from the then Labour government, which hoped to see its ‘line’ on climate change and other Third World issues promoted in BBC reporting.
Former Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott has sparked criticism by saying Islam has a “massive problem” and needs to reform.
Writing in Australian media, Mr Abbott said “not all cultures are equal” and the West should stop apologising for defending its values.
The BBC gives Abbott a couple of lines to hang himself (they hope) and then they set the kangaroo court in motion with the first 1/3 of the article devoted to slagging Abbott off.
Abbott is then allowed to expand on his statement before the last 1/3 is given over to Muslims to give him a kicking.
Note there are no voices brought on to support Abbott’s views, just critics.
Boo Hiss
Laughably the BBC resorts to low insults and contrived counterpoints that are designed to supposedly undermine Abbott’s criticism of a religion, well, supposed religion….
Mr Abbott was removed as prime minister by a party vote in September amid poor poll ratings and is now a backbench MP. Before his political career he had trained to be a Catholic priest.
His letter, published in News Corps tabloids, cautioned against “demonising” Muslims, but said the West “can’t remain in denial about the massive problem within Islam”.
So a mere ex-PM with low ratings who is now a lowly backbencher (and yet they still love Ed Miliband) …and oh yes, he was a trainee priest, a catholic one….so not only must he be intrinsically inclined to hate Islam he’s probably a bit ‘suspect’.
And get this…the real clincher…not only was his letter in a Murdoch paper, but in a tabloid Murdoch paper….how revoltingly populist can you get. ‘Tory’ scum.
Doesn’t say who wrote this stitch-up but I’m guessing it was Hamas’ representative in OZ, Jon Donnison.
Love his idea of what constitutes ‘superb’ journalism….
In the previous post we had a quick thought that Shaker Aamer was gaming the non-Muslim population with a faux anti-extremism posture, a front in order to gain our confidence…entryism in other words.
What if a London Mayor candidate also plays such games and seeks to gain a position which he can use to silence critics of Islam? Here Sadiq Khan positions himself as a humanitarian and equalities campaigner….
We must do more to challenge Islamophobia. As mayor of London, I’ll make tackling hate crimes – including Islamophobia, antisemitism and homophobia – a top priority for the Metropolitan police and ensure they get the resources they needs to make a real difference. I’ll work with the police and community organisations to improve the way we report and record Islamophobic crimes – so we have the best possible information to act on.
Nice that Labour’s Sadiq Khan thinks he can use the Met. Police as his own private police force to enforce an Islamic Inquisition….oh yes he’ll tackle anti-Semitism and homophobia (East London will be in lock down) but he had to say that didn’t he…just a bit too obvious what the agenda really might be if he hadn’t….though the title of his Guardian rant might just give the game away….
‘With Islamophobia on the rise I fear for my friends and family’
Craig at Is the BBC biased? (LOL) remarks on a very usual BBC discussion that peddles a defensive Muslim narrative in regard to a Times report that the man who shouted out #youain’tnomuslimbruv didn’t actually hear the Muslim terrorist shout that ‘this is for Syria and my Muslim brothers’.
What’s curious is that the BBC (10 mins)don’t seem to have noticed that the man who shouted out ‘you ain’t no Muslim bruv’ was in fact not a Muslim himself…despite the big Times frontpage headline that the BBC actually read out…..perhaps that’s why the BBC are attacking him and his ‘prejudice’ that a terrorist might be Muslim despite him obviouly being a victim of successful BBC brainwashing on the subject of Islam (ROP)…..the Times reveals all….
THE man dubbed a “hero” and praised by David Cameron for shouting “You ain’t no Muslim, bruv” to a knife-wielding suspected terrorist at a London Tube station has told The Sunday Times he now fears retribution from Isis.
John, 39, who asked for his surname to be witheld, revealed that he is not a Muslim himself but is angry that terrorist organisations such as Isis claim to represent Islam.
“Isis should be wiped out, because they’re not Muslims, because Muslims don’t do that. It’s as simple as that. For people to be like that, they’ve obviously got stone hearts, they don’t care about society. They don’t care about anyone. They’re evil, pure evil,” he said.
So Muslims, who reaped enormous vicarious credit for this denouncement of a terrorist as it ‘resonated around the world’, got that by the BBC et al assuming the guy shouting out was a Muslim …so as the BBC says…
‘Why should be immediately jump to the conclusion that he was a Muslim?! Because that again raises other questions…
Martine Croxall: Yes, of course.
Mihir Bose: …about how we look at these things.
Yes…how do we look at Shaker Aamer…considered a terrorist by the US and there’s plenty of evidence to suggest that.…but the very anti-war Mail has shamefully decided to promote Aamer’s narrative and give him credibility and the BBC is lapping it up…and of course there is the obligatory cheap tilt at Trump (10 mins)...he is aiding the terrorists with his own narrative apparently.
Do we believe Aamer, who was a ringleader inside Guantanamo, or is he just creating a credible, anti-Jihadi persona in order to position himself where he can then speak with ‘authority’ having made people believe he is not a ‘radical’ Muslim…therefore when he then goes on to speak for Cage or some other Muslim agitprop group that demands more Islam in the UK he is listened to with respect when he is in fact pushing the Jihadi line? Entryist? Wait out.
Of course the Mail has a history of backing the wrong side….
“Muslims Against Crusades” (MAC), an Islamic group based in the United Kingdom, plans to wage a propaganda campaign to make a portion of London accept Sharia law. They are calling it the “Islamic Emirates Project,” and it is designed to create beachheads for sharia across the UK.
According to CNS News, the MAC group has released its blueprint for the ‘emirates campaign’ to the public, including the following rules for Muslims to follow:
– reject democracy – not have non-Muslim friends – not celebrate non-Muslim festivals including Christmas and Easter – not join the police or armed forces – not vote for lawmakers, or stand for election – demand the release of “all Muslim prisoners in the hands of the disbelievers” – reject integration with non-Islamic society – abide by shari’a and not any “man-made law”
Imposing Sharia law is just as much a hate crime as abusing someone for wearing a hijab…
Whilst the BBC et al fulminate against the likes of Pegida they are almost silent in comparison about Muslim supremacist groups...here the BBC maintains a strictly neutral tone when reporting German ‘Muslim patrols’….no alarmist ‘warnings from history’ about the rise of the Islamists in the way that the BBC peddles for Right-wing organisations.
Of course there really are no go zones all around Europe
“Every police commissioner and interior minister will deny it. But of course we know where we can go with the police car….[O]ur colleagues can no longer feel safe there in twos, and have to fear becoming the victim of a crime themselves. We know that these areas exist. Even worse: in these areas, crimes no longer result in charges. They are left to themselves. Only in the worst cases do we in the police learn anything about it. The power of the state is completely out of the picture.” — Bernhard Witthaut, Chief Police Commissioner of Germany.
According to a police investigator interviewed by Der Spiegel, the immigrant clans “view German society as one to be plundered; they see us as born losers.”
Spiraling levels of violent crime perpetrated by immigrants from the Middle East and the Balkans are turning parts of Duisburg, a key German industrial city, into “areas of lawlessness” — areas that are becoming de facto “no-go” zones for police, according to a confidential police report that was leaked to the German newsmagazine Der Spiegel.
They go by the euphemistic term Zones Urbaines Sensibles, or Sensitive Urban Zones, with the even more antiseptic acronym ZUS, and there are 751 of them as of last count. They are conveniently listed on one long webpage, complete with street demarcations and map delineations.
What are they? Those places in France that the French state does not fully control. They range from two zones in the medieval town of Carcassonne to twelve in the heavily Muslim city of Marseilles, with hardly a town in France lacking in its ZUS. The ZUS came into existence in late 1996 and according to a 2004 estimate, nearly 5 million people live in them.
Sweden…the police have ‘surrendered total control’…
Islamic extremists have created “no-go” areas across Britain where it is too dangerous for non-Muslims to enter, one of the Church of England’s most senior bishops warns today.
The Rt Rev Michael Nazir-Ali, the Bishop of Rochester and the Church’s only Asian bishop, says that people of a different race or faith face physical attack if they live or work in communities dominated by a strict Muslim ideology.
Echoing Trevor Phillips, the chairman of the Commission for Equalities and Human Rights, who has said that the country is “sleepwalking into segregation”, the bishop argues that multiculturalism has led to deep divisions.
David Davis, the shadow home secretary, has accused Muslims of promoting a kind of “voluntary apartheid” by shutting themselves in closed societies and demanding immunity from criticism.
Certain areas in Britain will still have to remain off-limits for servicemen and women in military gear, despite the Government’s desire for a nationwide uniform free-for-all, senior RAF sources acknowledged yesterday. … one senior air force source said that military commanders had to be aware of potential problems of personnel wearing combat and other military clothes in the street. “We’re aware of the sensitivities, for example, in some ethnic minority communities which is why we need to have a dialogue with local authorities and police if we don’t want to cause a problem.”
In the future, London is divided in two. North of the river is a virtual police state and the South is a lawless no-go area ruled by criminal gangs. When the body of young boy washes up on the banks of the Thames, a police detective crosses the dangerous divide in the search for his killers.
The BBC, and the police, even once believed as the Socialist Worker once complained….
BBC RADIO 4’s Today programme last week reported that the mainly Asian area of Glodwick in Oldham, Lancashire, is now a “no-go” area for whites. Oldham police had released figures that said of the 572 racist attacks in the city last year, 60 percent were against whites, mainly by Asians. This led much of the media to claim that there are gangs of racist Asians in parts of Britain who are attacking white people.
Why do the police and the BBC try to silence voices like Trump who raise the obvious truth?…
OFFICIALLY, there is no such thing as a no-go area in Britain.
Today, no senior police officer, no local authority and no Government minister would or could admit that no-go districts existed in England, Scotland and Wales.
Yet the term can be used, and in dozens of places in or around many British cities.
Of course the police don’t admit to these no go zones…
‘There are no ‘no-go’ areas,’ he said, ‘but officers are more aware of the danger in some parts. In less violent areas, officers would just be listening out for jobs that were for them. But on beats where it’s very violent, each person wants to back the other up, even when the call is just to a domestic incident.’
The police don’t want to stigmatize certain areas…
Senior police officers, acutely aware of the potential political impact of their comments on such areas, refuse to identify problem estates.
And there is another factor. Lord Scarman, who presided over four major inquiries into civil disorders, most notably the Brixton riots of 1981, said last week while social deprivation and the architecture of problem estates was important, ‘ethnic differences are very important too. These are only general comments; if everyone was wealthy nobody would bother about the colour of people’s faces. But unfortunately not everyone is wealthy. Incoming immigrants create problems in poverty-stricken areas where there is already chronic unemployment and lack of money.’
IF OFFICIALS are reluctant to admit to the existence of no-go areas, let alone list them, it is not just because they would be accused of permitting a breakdown of law and order. Identifying them can actually make things worse.
Many areas with high ethnic minority populations which have had serious problems in the past now have false reputations.
Understandably, local authorities are keen their estates should not be tarred with too dirty a brush.
A majority of the Muslims in Europe want sharia to have precedence over the secular laws of their European host countries. This according to a new study by WZB Berlin Social Science Center where Muslims in six countries interviewed, including Sweden. A study that should concern Western politicians, according to the researchers.
The study posed three questions to the immigrant Turks and Moroccans in Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Holland and Sweden:
Do you think sharia is more important to you than the laws of the country you live? (66%)
Do you mean that there is only one legitimate interpretation of the Koran that should apply to all Muslims? (75%)
Are you saying that Muslims should return to their “Islamic roots”? (60%)
Those who answered Yes to all questions be referred to as “consistent fundamentalists” – and these represent 44 per cent of those questioned Muslims in Europe. The fundamentalist attitudes are as common among younger Muslims among the elderly.
Roger Harrabin is nothing if not consistent….always pushing the narrative….not in this instance making a fool of himself by openly claiming a storm was caused by climate change but linking to a climate alarmist group whose ‘own scientists’ can look out the window and immediately calculate if this is so…and of course it is……
Over this past weekend, a major storm swept across the U.K. and dumped torrential amounts of rain in some spots — the more than 13 inches that fell in one location in northwest England even set a national 24-hour rainfall record.
Just days later, a real-time analysis by scientists working with Climate Central’s World Weather Attribution program has found that global warming has boosted the odds of such an extreme rainfall event in the region by about 40 percent — a small, but clear, effect, the scientists say.
They are just incredible…others have been trying to link storms to climate change for years, decades and still can’t do so with any degree of certainty…and yet these guys can just go Booom….job done…yep it’s climate change alright.
[Note…for the BBC…1988 is pre 2003….Islamically inspired anti-western hatred was spewing out long before the Iraq war…which is why OBL declared war on the US in 1996….’The people of Islam awakened and realised that they are the main target for the aggression of the Zionist-Crusaders alliance.’….The very narrative Islamic ‘extremists’, moderates and the BBC spread today but try to conveniently blame on Iraq 2003]
On Christmas afternoon in 1992, Steven Emerson, then a staff reporter for CNN, noticed a large group of men in traditional Arab clothes congregating outside the Oklahoma City Convention Center. At first, he thought they were extras for a movie—until he remembered the date. So, he explored a bit; inside, he discovered a conference sponsored by the Muslim Arab Youth Association. The vitriol of the speakers, replete with hateful rhetoric against Jews, Israel, and America mixed with exhortations of violence toward these enemies, alarmed him. Spontaneous shouts of “Kill the Jews” and “Destroy the West” came from the audience throughout the event…..
Emerson undertook effective investigations on his own before he started the IPT (Investigative Project on Terrorism). Most notable was his 1994 documentary Jihad in America, which raised awareness of the threat of radical Islam in the United States. The film focused on a Palestinian, Abdullah Azzam, who founded the Arab Fighters Service Bureau in Afghanistan to recruit and train thousands of mostly Arab jihadists. Osama bin Laden, a protégé of Azzam’s, cofounded the bureau and later transformed it into Al-Qaeda. The bureau’s North American office, the Al-Khifa Refugee Center in the Al-Farooq Mosque in Brooklyn, soon became the hub of a network that included outposts in Atlanta, Chicago, Connecticut, and New Jersey. Interestingly, while in Pakistan and Afghanistan for several months in 1993, shooting the documentary, Emerson befriended Azzam’s son Hodeyfa.
After Azzam’s assassination in Pakistan in 1989, the blind Egyptian sheikh, Omar Abdel Rahman, emerged as the spiritual leader of the international jihadist wing of the bureau. In 1990, Abdel Rahman, who had been expelled from Egypt, was allowed to emigrate from Afghanistan to the United States despite having been named on the State Department’s terrorist watch list; he settled in the New York city area. Soon, a circle of Islamists congregated at his Al-Salaam Mosque in Jersey City. In 1990, one of his followers, Egyptian-born El Sayyid Nosair, assassinated Rabbi Meir Kahane, the Israeli politician and founder of the Jewish Defense League. A few years later, other Abdel Rahman followers linked up with Ramzi Yousef, the mastermind of the 1993 World Trade Center bombing, which killed six persons and wounded 1,042 others. Emerson’s work in uncovering and exposing this network complemented the efforts of official agencies operating under greater constraints.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRtPPxbPx_E
What may also be of interest to any investigative BBC journo keen to question the motives of many an Islamic charity….
This is as far as the BBC goes to remind its audience of STWC’s support for terrorism…and even then ‘praises’ them for having removed an article…..
A tweet and article published in the wake of the attacks on Paris last month suggested France had “reaped the whirlwind” of Western support for extremist violence in the Middle East.
Both were later removed and disowned by the organisation’s leaders, but critics have highlighted another article last week which argued jihadists were driven by a “spirit of internationalism and solidarity” akin to the International Brigades that fought in the Spanish Civil War.
Trouble is there is a lot more absolutely damning stuff out there.
Here’s just one example that makes a mockery of one defence that STW puts up….that it is anti-war in all its guises...prefering diplomacy to bombs….
Six steps to defeating ISIS without the US and Britain bombing Iraq or Syria
Phyllis Bennis .
Military attacks are wrong, illegal in international law, immoral because of civilian casualties, a distraction from diplomacy, and make real solutions impossible.
President Obama is right: There is no military solution. Military actions will not set the stage for political solutions; they will prevent those solutions from taking hold. Escalating military actions against this violent extremist organization is not going to work.
Time to go to war with Israel as the only path to peace in the Middle East
Richard Falk .
‘Legitimacy war’, combining the mobilization of a movement from below with global solidarity, is the best prospect for realizing Palestinian self-determination, says Richard Falk.
Or how about this from Corbyn’s executive director of strategy and communications, Seumas Milne…
Milne is closely associated with STWC and is a frequent speaker for them.
As STWC says…
Lindsey German, convenor of Stop the war Coalition, writes:
“Seumas Milne is a very good choice as executive director of strategy and communications for Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn. He is anti-war, opposes nuclear weapons, and supports the Palestinian struggle for justice and human rights. These are Jeremy Corbyn’s politics too.
Jeremy Corbyn’s politics too…shouldn’t the BBC be paying more attention to the terrorist sympathising leader of the opposition who could be PM one day?
Then again the BBC is in tune with much of what he says on these subjects…
Mr Corbyn, who has been a leading member of the Stop the War coalition since it was founded, used his speech to praise its campaigns against military interventions.
“It has been shown to be right in opposing more than a decade of disastrous wars – in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya – while many of its most vociferous critics supported them,” he said.
In 2005, Stop the War told a group of anti-regime Iranian refugees that Stop the War “can not allow any statement against the Islamic regime in Iran from the platform.” Stop the War official Andrew Burgin has stated: “There are supporters of Ahmadinejad who we do not want to exclude.”
The BBC report finishes with this…
Former Labour leader Ed Miliband told the BBC’s Newsnight he would not “commentate on what organisations Jeremy Corbyn chooses to be member of”.
“I think our party’s focus should be on taking the fight to the Tories and working out the ideas that are going to win us the next general election, not Jeremy Corbyn’s political engagements.”
So Corbyn’s ‘political engagements’, with pro-terrorist, pro-mass murdering regimes, with hardline islamists, should just be swept under the carpet? This from a man who tried to make a political career out of maligning Cameron for being a ‘toff’and trying to stir up a class war against anyone who went to Eton. Talk about priorities. Mass murderer Assad…he’s OK (oh yes…Miliband didn’t want to bomb him did he?) Cameron, who went to Eton, is the spawn of the devil.
Did the BBC challenge Miliband on his statement? No, of course not.
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