John Humphrys led the charge on Today (08:37) trying to separate fact from fiction in the EU debate…so-called debate. Many claims have been made, but which if them have any basis in truth?
The first ‘fact’ examined was Leave stating that we send £350 million per week to the EU. The BBC says we don’t…because we get a rebate and the EU graciously spends some of that money on UK projects….meaning that we actually ‘only’ send £190 million per week to the EU coffers to spend on themselves.
However this misses Leave’s point…as did Humphrys when interviewing Gisela Stuart recently about the NHS…that if we didn’t send any money to the EU we could decide how to spend that money ourselves…on the NHS for instance. We could if we wished continue to spend that money on the same projects the EU spent our money on, or we could opt for some other project…but we would also have that other £190 million per week to spend. The BBC entirely misses the point and makes no reference to it in this piece.
The next ‘fact’ was Remain’s claim that each household would be £4,300 worse off by 2030 if we Brexited. Now the BBC did say this was an exaggeration…but made no attempt to examine whether the principle that we would lose money on Brexit stood up…the BBC just accepts Brexit means the UK economy will suffer long term as well as short term.
‘Fact’ three? Leave says 88 million people will be eligible to come to the UK on accession of new countries to the EU…such as Turkey. The BBC pooh-poohed this by saying it was ridiculous to suggest all 88 million would come here…and anyway it would be very difficult for these countries to meet the necessary criteria to join. Leave of course didn’t suggest all 88 million would come…just that they would be eligible to do so if they wanted to….and with 88 million eligible even 4 or 5 million would be more than likely…and most would be Muslim Turks….not a consideration for the BBC.
The last claim examined was Remain’s claim that 3 million jobs would go…this was found not to be true….though 3 million jobs, maybe 4 million says the BBC, are connected to trade with the EU…and therefore subject to that trade continuing. What the BBC doesn’t look at is a possibility that trade may increase, both with the EU and the rest of the world….how many jobs would we gain long term? No answer.
Humphrys rounded the report off by saying none of the claims were true…but that isn’t true is it? We do send £350 million per week to the EU and the EU decides how to spend it…not us. The £4,300 figure? The BBC just suggests an exaggeration but doesn’t dispute the ‘fact’ that families would lose out on Brexit. The 88 million swarming over the border? Not a claim made by Leave…but that didn’t stop the BBC suggesting that it was. The 3 million jobs, or now 4 million as the BBC subtly suggests….would trade with the EU stop? No. Slow? Maybe, but the EU would want to keep the deals going. Increase? Possibly…with freedom to act and the incentive to do so companies might ramp up their efforts to export both to the EU and the rest of the world. Again no sign that the BBC will admit such a possibility here.
All in all pro-Remain…the BBC says Leave on the face of it correct but the detail says not, conversely Remain are slightly exaggerating but on the while are correct that we are doomed on Brexit. It looks like a genuine attempt to examine the claims but isn’t.